
World Health Organisation (WHO) defines pandemic as a worldwide spread of a new disease. Currently Corona virus is considered as epidemic. As of WHO data on 27 Feb , 46 countries have recorded confirmed case or cases of Corona virus.
Let’s have look on past pandemic and how it affected regional and/or global economy.
1918 | Spanish flu influenza pandemic | 20 million–100 million deaths | GDP loss of 3 percent in Australia, 15 percent in Canada, 17 percent in the United Kingdom, 11 percent in the United States |
1957 | Asian flu influenza pandemic | 0.7 million–1.5 million deaths | GDP loss of 3 percent in Canada, Japan, the United Kingdom, and the United States |
1968 | Hong Kong flu influenza pandemic | 1 million deaths | US$23 billion–US$26 billion direct and indirect costs in the United States |
1981 | HIV/AIDS pandemic | More than 70 million infections, 36.7 million deaths | 2–4 percent annual loss of GDP growth in Africa |
2003 | SARS pandemic | 8,098 possible cases, deaths | GDP loss of US$4 billion in Hong Kong SAR, China; US$3 billion–US$6 billion in Canada; and US$5 billion in Singapore |
2009 | Swine flu influenza pandemic | 151,700–575,500 deaths | GDP loss of US$1 billion in the Republic of Korea |
2015 | Zika virus pandemic | 2,656 reported cases of microcephaly or central nervous system malformation | US$7 billion–US$18 billion loss in Latin America and the Caribbean |
The Corona virus pandemic may heart Global economy badly .Oxford economic have outlined two possible scenarios based on Oxford Global Economic Model: a) the pandemic is limited to Asia, and world GDP falls $0.4tn (0.5%) in 2020 b) In a global pandemic, it drops $1.1tn (1.3%).
Oxford economic in forecast said, In 2020 global growth will slow to just 2.3%, its weakest since 2009 .
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